Moore’s Law is an observation made by Gordon E. Moore, co-founder of Intel, in 1965. He noted that:
The number of transistors on a microchip doubles approximately every two years, while the cost of computers is halved.
This effectively meant exponential growth in computing power and a decrease in relative cost over time.
- Origin: First published in a 1965 paper by Moore in Electronics Magazine.
- Initial Prediction: Moore originally stated that the number of transistors on integrated circuits would double every year.
- Revision: In 1975, he revised the prediction to every two years, which became the commonly cited version.
- Impact: It became a guiding principle for the semiconductor industry, influencing R&D, production roadmaps, and expectations for performance improvements.
So where do we stand today – 50 years down the technology development path?
The answer is yes!
Thanks to the great folks at OurWorldinData.org we have a very accurate picture at least of the number of transistors:
Don’t let anyone tell you that Moore’s Law was not predictive and accurate.
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